Chafee Leads Whitehouse and Brown; Carcieri Leads Fogarty
statewide survey of 470
PROVIDENCE, R.I. ó Former Rhode Island Attorney General Sheldon Whitehouse would give Republican U.S. Sen. Lincoln Chafee a race, according to a new statewide survey conducted by researchers at Brown University. If the 2006 U.S. Senate election were held today, 41 percent of voters would support Chafee while 36 percent would back Whitehouse. Among women, Chafee leads Whitehouse 42 to 34 percent, while leading by only 42 to 40 percent among men.
Neither man, however, does a very good job of holding onto the support of his partyís faithful. Among Democrats, Whitehouse led Chafee only 51 to 31 percent, while among Republicans Chafee led Whitehouse 46 to 32 percent. Despite the apparent competitiveness of this race, Chafeeís job approval score is above the crucial 50 percent threshold of support, with 53 percent of voters rating his performance either good or excellent (up from 48 percent in a February survey). Among independent voters, Chafee led Whitehouse 48 to 31 percent.
survey was conducted
The survey also pitted the incumbent, Chafee, against Democrat and current Rhode Island Secretary of State Matt Brown. Chafee led Brown among all voters 44 to 29 percent. These numbers are an improvement for each man since February, when Chafee led Brown 39 to 25 percent. Among women, Chafee led Brown 42 to 30 percent, while holding a 48 to 28 percent lead among men. Among Democrats, Chafee only trailed Brown by 6 points (37 to 43 percent), while leading Brown among Republicans 46 to 23 percent. Independents broke more than two to one for Chafee over Brown (51 to 24 percent).
If the Republican candidate were Cranston Mayor Stephen Laffey, Whitehouse leads the mayor 45 to 32 percent. Among Republicans, Laffey is ahead 65 to 16 percent, while Whitehouse has a strong lead over Laffey among Democrats (69 to 14 percent) and a narrower lead among Independents (41 to 37 percent). Among women, Whitehouse enjoys a 14-point lead (45 to 31 percent) over Laffey, while Whitehouse leads 47 to 36 percent among men.
In a match-up pitting Laffey against Brown, voters break 40 to 30 percent for Brown. This is an improvement for Brown over the February poll, when he led Laffey 30 to 27 percent. Among women, Brown is ahead 38 to 28 percent (compared to 29 to 26 percent in the previous poll), while with men, he leads Laffey 45 to 33 percent (34 to 29 percent in February). Among Republicans, Laffey is ahead of Brown 56 to 16 percent (compared to 68 to 6 percent in the poll conducted earlier this year). Among Democrats, Brown leads 62 to 11 percent ( percent in February). With Independents, the candidates are tied at 35 percent each. (Laffey led 27 to 25 percent in February.)
Gov. Donald Carcieri has a lead over his presumed Democratic rival, Lt. Gov. Charles Fogarty. If the election were held today, Carcieri leads 48 to 39 percent (Carcieri led 44 to 33 percent in the poll conducted earlier this year). Among Republicans, Carcieri leads Fogarty 88 to 7 percent (relatively unchanged from Februaryís 89 to 6 percent finding), while Fogarty is ahead with Democrats 63 to 25 percent (an improvement over his 55 to 24 percent February showing). Carcieri also enjoys a 21-point margin with Independents, 55 to 34 percent. Among men, Carcieri leads 49 to 43 percent (down from 51 to 33 percent in February) and leads 48 to 37 percent among women. The latter is a strong improvement for Carcieri over February when he led among women 40 to 36 percent.
asked about the job performance of various public officials, 57 percent feel
Carcieri is doing a good job as governor (unchanged from Februaryís 57
percent). Fifty-three percent believe Fogarty is doing a good job as lieutenant
governor (up from 46 percent). Forty-nine percent think Attorney General
George Bushís support within the state has decreased as only one-quarter of
Rhode Islanders believe he is doing an excellent or good job. This is a 6-point
drop from February when 31 percent approved of his performance. Seventy-one percent
Forty-three percent believe the state is headed in the right direction, while 44 percent feel it is headed on the wrong track. In the February survey, 52 percent believed the state was headed in the right direction while 26 percent stated that the state was headed on the wrong track.
issues under consideration at the state house or in the public eye, 67 percent
of voters support the recently passed state bill that would legalize the use of
marijuana for medicinal purposes. Sixty-six percent of state voters support
federal funding of embryonic stem cell research. Fifty-five percent of state
Survey Questions and Responses
the U.S. Senate election were held today, would you vote for: 44% Republican
the U.S. Senate election were held today, would you vote for: 41% Republican
If the U.S. Senate election were held today, would you vote for: 30% Republican Stephen Laffey, 40% Democrat Matt Brown, 29% donít know or no answer
If the U.S. Senate election were held today, would you vote for: 32% Republican Stephen Laffey, 45% Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse, 22% donít know or no answer
If the governorís election were held today, would you vote for: 48% Republican Don Carcieri, 39% Democrat Charles Fogarty, 13% donít know or no answer
How would you rate the job George W. Bush is doing as president? 5% excellent, 19% good, 30% only fair, 44% poor, 2% donít know or no answer
would you rate the job Jack Reed is doing as
How would you rate the job Lincoln Chafee is doing as U.S. Senator? 10% excellent, 43% good 26% only fair, 16% poor, 6% donít know or no answer
How would you rate the job Patrick Kennedy is doing as U.S. Representative? 14% excellent, 42% good, 24% only fair, 13% poor, 7% donít know or no answer
How would you rate the job Jim Langevin is doing as U.S. Representative? 15% excellent, 48% good, 17% only fair, 5% poor, 15% donít know or no answer
How would you rate the job Don Carcieri is doing as governor? 21% excellent, 36% good, 25% only fair, 15% poor, 4% donít know or no answer
How would you rate the job Charles Fogarty is doing as lieutenant governor? 8% excellent, 44% good, 18% only fair, 3% poor, 25% donít know or no answer
would you rate the job
How would you rate the job Matt Brown is doing as secretary of state? 5% excellent, 37% good, 21% only fair, 3% poor, 34% donít know or no answer
How would you rate the job Paul Tavares is doing as general treasurer? 6% excellent, 32% good, 19% only fair, 4% poor, 38% donít know or no answer
How would you rate the job Joseph Montelbano is doing as Senate President? 2% excellent, 15% good, 22% only fair, 15% poor, 46% donít know or no answer
How would you rate the job William Murphy is doing as Speaker of the House? 3% excellent, 21% good, 24% only fair, 20% poor, 31% donít know or no answer
would you rate the job David Cicilline is doing as mayor of
would you rate the job Stephen Laffey is doing as mayor of
How would you rate the job Frank Williams is doing as chief justice of the Rhode Island Supreme Court? 7% excellent, 27% good, 18% only fair, 8% poor, 37% donít know or no answer
speaking, would you say things in
Do you favor or oppose a bill that would legalize the use of marijuana for medicinal purposes? 67% favor, 22% oppose, 9% donít know or no answer
you think the
Should changes in the state pension system be applied to judges, prison guards, and state troopers? 71% yes, 10% no, 14% donít know or no answer
you favor or oppose the expansion of liquefied natural gas facilities in